Atlantic Ocean currents nearing tipping point, study warns

A strong south-easter known as the Cape Doctor blows spray off the Atlantic Ocean. File Picture: Armand Hough / Independent Newspapers

A strong south-easter known as the Cape Doctor blows spray off the Atlantic Ocean. File Picture: Armand Hough / Independent Newspapers

Published Feb 15, 2024

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A dire warning emerged from a comprehensive study published in Science Advances, shedding light on the increasingly plausible scenario of an abrupt shutdown of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC).

This crucial ocean current system, responsible for regulating global climate patterns, is edging perilously close to a tipping point, raising alarms among scientists worldwide.

Lead author of the study, Rene van Westen, a climate scientist and oceanographer at Utrecht University in the Netherlands, underscoring the urgency of the situation said: "We are moving closer to the collapse, but we're not sure how much closer... We are heading towards a tipping point."

The AMOC plays a pivotal role in redistributing heat across the planet's oceans, influencing weather patterns on a global scale. A potential collapse of this current would trigger a cascade of climatic repercussions, from plunging temperatures in northwestern Europe to disruptions in global rainfall patterns and the Amazon rainforest.

While previous assessments by the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change projected a collapse unlikely before 2100, the new study challenges this timeline.

Van Westen cautions that while the catastrophic event may be decades away and not centuries as previously predicted, "It also depends on the rate of climate change we are inducing as humanity," she said.

The study's findings underscore the imperative for enhanced monitoring and mitigation efforts to safeguard against the impending climate crisis.

As Joel Hirschi of the UK's National Oceanography Centre highlights, while the threat of AMOC collapse warrants attention, “immediate action is required to address the escalating impacts of global warming already affecting societies worldwide”.

Amidst growing climate uncertainty, the study serves as a clarion call for concerted global action to mitigate the escalating threats posed by climate change and protect the future of our planet.

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